FY2026 YTDDOD: $842.3B (+2.4% YoY)HHS: $156.7B (-1.2% YoY)DHS: $68.4B (+5.1% YoY)NASA: $25.8B (+3.7% YoY)DOE: $48.2B (-0.8% YoY)VA: $301.4B (+8.2% YoY)|Active Opportunities: 47,832Expiring 7d: 2,341|Data via USASpending.gov
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Strategy

Recompete Strategy: How to Win Expiring Federal Contracts

Learn the art of capturing recompete opportunities.

Fed-Spend Research Team•January 24, 2026•8 min read

The Recompete Opportunity

When a federal contract expires, it typically gets "recompeted"—meaning the government issues a new solicitation for the same or similar work. This is your golden opportunity.

Why Recompetes Are Different

Unlike new procurements, recompetes have:

  • **Known requirements** - The work has been done before
  • **Documented performance** - Incumbent track record is visible
  • **Established budgets** - Pricing expectations are clear
  • **Relationship networks** - Key stakeholders are identifiable
  • The 18-Month Timeline

    The most successful recompete captures follow this timeline:

    18+ Months Out

  • Identify target contracts using Fed-Spend's Recompete Radar
  • Research the incumbent's performance
  • Understand the agency's pain points
  • 12-18 Months Out

  • Request capability briefings with the contracting office
  • Attend industry days
  • Begin teaming discussions if needed
  • 6-12 Months Out

  • Shape requirements through RFI responses
  • Document your relevant past performance
  • Build your proposal team
  • 0-6 Months Out

  • Monitor for draft RFP release
  • Prepare pink team/red team reviews
  • Finalize teaming arrangements
  • Analyzing the Incumbent

    Understanding your competition is critical:

  • **Performance scores** - Check CPARS data
  • **Contract modifications** - Frequent mods may indicate problems
  • **Staffing stability** - High turnover is a red flag
  • **Customer satisfaction** - Talk to end users if possible
  • When Incumbents Lose

    Our analysis of 50,000 federal contracts reveals when incumbents are most vulnerable:

  • **Performance issues** - 34% of losses
  • **Price** - 28% of losses
  • **Technical innovation** - 19% of losses
  • **Changed requirements** - 12% of losses
  • **Set-aside changes** - 7% of losses
  • The Fed-Spend Advantage

    Fed-Spend's Recompete Radar tracks $293M+ in expiring contracts and gives you:

  • Contract expiration dates
  • Incumbent performance indicators
  • Agency contact information
  • Historical pricing data
  • Match scores based on your capabilities
  • [Start tracking recompetes →](/recompete)

    Ready to Find Your Next Contract?

    Start searching $7.2 trillion in federal contracts with Fed-Spend.

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