FED-SPEND INTELLIGENCELive sources: USASpending.gov · SAM.gov · FPDS · GAO|Coverage: all federal agencies across every NAICS code|Tools: Recompete Radar · pWin Verdict · RFP Shredder · Price-to-Win|Pulled live from authoritative federal data
Fed-Spend
Intelligence Terminal
DashboardSearchContractors
AlertsPricingBlog
Back to Blog
Strategy

10,656 Federal Contracts End in FY2027. You Can Bid 1 in 4: The Recompete List by NAICS Code

We pulled every contract of $5M or more in 18 NAICS codes with activity in the last 12 months and an end date in FY2027. 10,656 contracts. 75% are task orders you cannot touch without the vehicle. In IT and engineering it is 91%. In construction it is 46%. Here is the open-door count for your code, the 1,103 civilian contracts anyone can bid, and the incumbents with the most clocks running.

Fed-Spend Research Team•September 29, 2026•12 min read

Short answer: 10,656 federal contracts of $5M or more in 18 common small-business NAICS codes have a current end date in FY2027 (Oct 1, 2026 to Sep 30, 2027). Only 2,611 are standalone contracts anyone can bid. The other 8,045 are task orders or BPA calls reserved for holders of the parent vehicle.

TL;DR · Key Facts
  • ▸10,656 contracts of $5M+ across 18 NAICS codes end between Oct 1, 2026 and Sep 30, 2027. 74% are $5M to $25M. The median is $12.5M. Pulled from USASpending Sep 28, 2026.
  • ▸8,045 (75%) are delivery orders or BPA calls. Only holders of the parent vehicle can compete for the follow-on. In 541512 and 541330, 91% are orders. In 236220 construction, 54% are standalone contracts anyone can bid.
  • ▸1,103 are civilian, standalone, and under $100M: the open door for a small or mid-size firm. VA has 252, HHS 224, State 99, DHS 90. Booz Allen holds the most FY2027 clocks of any incumbent: 186 contracts, $13.61B.
Source: Fed-Spend analysis of public federal contract data (USASpending.gov, FPDS, SAM.gov, GAO). Methodology and full report below.
Try it live - search this market now

Live federal contract data. No account needed for a quick look.

FY2027 starts Thursday. Between then and Sep 30, 2027, 10,656 federal contracts worth $5M or more in 18 of the most common small-business NAICS codes hit their current end date.

That sounds like 10,656 chances. It is not.

8,045 of them are task orders or BPA calls. The follow-on work goes to whoever holds the parent vehicle. If you are not on it, you are not bidding, no matter how good your past performance is. The real FY2027 list, the one you can act on without a vehicle, is 2,611 standalone contracts. Take out Defense and anything over $100M, and it is 1,103.

Which list you are on depends almost entirely on your NAICS code.

Run the recompete list for your NAICS · Open Recompete Radar · Set an alert on your code

How we built the list

USASpending does not filter on end date. So for each of 18 NAICS codes we pulled every contract (award types A-D) of $5M or more with at least one action between Sep 28, 2025 and Sep 28, 2026. That is 25,037 contracts, every page, no sampling. We kept the 10,656 whose current period-of-performance end date falls between Oct 1, 2026 and Sep 30, 2027.

Then we split them by award type. Definitive contracts and purchase orders are standalone: when they end, the agency runs a new competition that any eligible firm can enter. Delivery orders and BPA calls sit under a parent IDIQ, GWAC, schedule, or BPA. Their follow-on usually gets competed only among vehicle holders.

Award typeContracts ending FY2027Who can bid the follow-on
Delivery order7,089Holders of the parent IDIQ or GWAC
BPA call956Holders of the parent BPA
Definitive contract2,552Any eligible firm
Purchase order59Any eligible firm

The clocks are spread evenly through the year: 2,551 end in Q1 (Oct-Dec), 2,989 in Q2, 2,462 in Q3, and 2,654 in Q4. There is no quiet quarter.

The number that matters: how open is your code?

NAICSIndustryEnding FY2027Standalone (anyone can bid)Open door (civilian, standalone, under $100M)Top buyer
541330Engineering Services2,017191 (9%)29DoD (1,473)
541519Other Computer Related Services1,385167 (12%)96DoD (360)
541512Computer Systems Design1,283119 (9%)58DoD (320)
541715R&D in Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences1,273517 (41%)106DoD (898)
236220Commercial and Institutional Building1,045564 (54%)324DoD (531)
541611Management Consulting813172 (21%)96HHS (197)
541511Custom Computer Programming72493 (13%)31DoD (198)
561210Facilities Support596163 (27%)43DoD (325)
541990All Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical393134 (34%)67DoD (193)
561612Security Guards and Patrol21772 (33%)59State (77)
237990Other Heavy and Civil Engineering216173 (80%)40DoD (172)
518210Computing Infrastructure and Hosting17362 (36%)50DoD (55)
562910Remediation16026 (16%)8DoD (77)
541690Scientific and Technical Consulting11832 (27%)18HHS (48)
561720Janitorial10076 (76%)43DoD (52)
541620Environmental Consulting616 (10%)4EPA (23)
611430Management Development Training4311 (26%)7DoD (17)
238220Plumbing and HVAC3933 (85%)24VA (17)

Three things jump out.

IT and engineering are vehicle markets. In 541512 and 541330, 91% of the FY2027 clocks are orders. A 541512 firm with no GWAC, no schedule, and no IDIQ seat is competing for 119 of 1,283 expiring contracts. The capture question for these codes is not "which contract" but "which vehicle recompetes next, and can I get on it or team with someone who is."

Construction and trades are open markets. Building construction is 54% standalone, heavy civil 80%, plumbing and HVAC 85%. 324 building contracts are civilian, standalone, and under $100M. That is the single largest open-door pool on this list, and VA alone placed 234 of the building contracts ending this year.

R&D is the surprise. 541715 is 41% standalone (517 contracts), because research work is often bought as individual definitive contracts. Most of it is Defense, but 106 open-door civilian R&D contracts end this year, led by NIH (47 of the 106).

One caution on janitorial: a large share of standalone custodial contracts are AbilityOne awards to nonprofit agencies on the Procurement List. Those are mandatory-source and do not recompete in the open market. Check the incumbent before you plan a bid.

The open door: 1,103 contracts a small firm can actually chase

Try It Now

Search every FY2027 recompete contract right now - no signup needed.

Free accounts get 10 searches/mo · No credit card

Filter to civilian, standalone, and under $100M, and 1,103 contracts remain, worth $18.85B obligated to date. 921 of them are $5M to $25M.

AgencyOpen-door contracts ending FY2027
Veterans Affairs252
Health and Human Services224
State99
Homeland Security90
Interior78
GSA49
Commerce45
Transportation40

Timing: 299 end in Q1, 244 in Q2, 213 in Q3, and 347 in Q4. A contract ending in October or November almost certainly has its follow-on solicitation posted or awarded already. The ones ending January through June 2027 are where positioning still pays: sources sought, industry days, and draft RFPs typically land 6 to 12 months before the end date.

Twelve open-door contracts ending January to June 2027

The largest standalone civilian contract under $100M ending in the first half of 2027 in each code:

ObligatedIncumbentAgencyNAICSEndsPIIDWhat it is
$99.5MWhiting-TurnerGSA (PBS)236220Mar 3, 202747PF0021C0003Ashley U.S. Courthouse bridging design-build
$95.8MCharles River LaboratoriesHHS (NIH)561210Mar 13, 202775N93024C00003NIAID facility management and technical support
$88.6MKadiak LLC (8(a))Interior541611Mar 30, 2027140D0423C0051Program management office support
$87.6MCayuse TechnologiesState541511Jan 31, 202719AQMM21C0104Design engineering and integration services
$75.6MENSCOTransportation (FRA)541330Mar 31, 2027693JJ623C000003Automated track inspection support
$72.7MTechnical Resources InternationalHHS (NIH)541715Mar 31, 202775N93024C00004Clinical research operations and management support
$70.2MIST ResearchState541512Jan 20, 202719AQMM20C0021Rewards for Justice platform
$66.9MLeisnoi Diversified-Kemron 8A JVEPA562910Apr 11, 202768HE0524C0005Ottawa Radiation NPL site cleanup
$49.4MPowder River IndustriesEnergy541519Apr 9, 202789233123CNA000302NNSA information management IT support
$44.6MUniversal Protection ServiceInterior (NPS)561612Mar 7, 2027140P4521C0014Five-year park security contract
$16.4MCreative Management TechnologyNASA561720Apr 30, 202780GRC020C0007Glenn Research Center janitorial
$14.9MMerrick & CompanyHomeland Security541620Jan 7, 202770RSAT24C00000001Plum Island closure environmental support

We removed SBIR Phase III awards and AbilityOne awards from this table because neither recompetes in the open market. Two of the twelve incumbents are 8(a) firms, which usually means the follow-on stays in the 8(a) program. That is an opening if you hold 8(a) status and a wall if you do not.

The incumbents with the most FY2027 clocks

If your code is a vehicle market, the fastest way in is often a seat on someone else's team. These are the incumbents defending the most expiring contracts across the 18 codes:

IncumbentContracts ending FY2027Obligated to date
Booz Allen Hamilton186$13.61B
General Dynamics IT144$8.14B
Deloitte Consulting134$5.83B
Accenture Federal Services121$8.56B
SAIC106$6.73B
Leidos103$9.98B

A prime defending 100+ recompetes in one year needs small-business teammates to hit subcontracting goals and set-aside thresholds on the follow-ons. That is leverage, and it is time-bound. For any of them, the competitor expiring-contracts view lists every clock, so you can walk into a teaming conversation already knowing which of their contracts you fit.

What to do this week

  • Find your row in the table above and click the NAICS code. It opens a live recompete search for that code, sorted by days remaining.
  • Sort out standalone from orders. For standalone contracts ending January to June 2027, check SAM.gov for a sources sought or presolicitation notice. If none has posted, you are early, and that is the best place to be.
  • For orders, look up the parent. Paste the PIID into search to see the parent vehicle. If the vehicle itself recompetes this year, that is the real opportunity.
  • Score before you chase. The pWin verdict fuses incumbent vulnerability, competition density, and price into one number, so you spend proposal hours on the contracts you can actually win.
  • Caveats

  • Obligated to date is not remaining value. It measures the size of the incumbent's position, not what is left to win. The $497.14B total is dominated by a few management-and-operating contracts (Sandia alone is $43.2B), which is why this post leads with counts, not dollars.
  • End dates move. Options get exercised and bridges get issued. A meaningful share of these clocks will be extended by modification.
  • Defense rows lag 90 days. DoD reporting delay means some Defense contracts shown ending in FY2027 have already been extended.
  • NAICS is the contract's primary code. A firm that works across codes should run each one.
  • 18 codes, not all of them. We chose the codes where small and mid-size firms compete most. Any other code runs the same way in Recompete Radar.
  • Related: The Q1 FY2027 list of contracts over $20M ending Oct-Dec 2026 · 77 quiet incumbents that got one offer · How to search the federal contracts database

    Put this post to work
    • Run the FY2027 recompete list for your NAICS code
    • Score a recompete before you chase it: the pWin verdict
    • See every contract a competitor has expiring in 12 months
    • Get an alert when a contract in your code enters its final 180 days
    Same data. 68x cheaper.GovWin $40K/yr · GovTribe $25K/yr · Bloomberg Gov $5.7K/yrSee pricing

    Related Guides

    More from the How to Win Government Contracts (2026) series

    How to Win Government ContractsHow to Respond to a Government RFP: The 2026 Playbook201 Contracts, $151.5B, Expiring Oct-Dec 2026: The Q1 FY27 ListQuiet Incumbents: 77 Full-and-Open Contracts That Got One OfferHow Big Is a Federal IT Contract? 541512 Award Bands by AgencyLook Up a PIID and See If You Can Beat the Incumbent

    Turn Strategy Into Wins

    Access recompete predictions, pricing benchmarks, and competitive intelligence to sharpen your bids.

    © 2026 Fed-Spend Intelligence. All rights reserved.

    Get Weekly Federal Contract Intelligence

    Join thousands of contractors receiving weekly market analysis, recompete alerts, and DOGE spending cut updates.

    No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.